Development
Studies
MSc.
Development Studies
Unit: Strategies for Industrialisation topic: What
are the main characteristics of industrial development in developing
societies since the Second World War?
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------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Key words: Industrialisation and development, developing societies.; . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ |
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1. Introduction
To begin with a definition: industrialisation is the process by which a
non-industrialised country becomes an industrialised one. It is the
general process by which economies and societies in which agriculture and
the production of handicrafts predominate become transformed into
economics and societies where manufacturing and related extractive
industries are central (Jary, D & Jary, J, 1995). In other words, the
extensive development of organised economic activity for the purpose of
manufacture. Industrialisation is characterised by the transformation of
primarily agrarian economy into a more specialised, capital-intensive
economy. Thus industrialisation can mean simply an increased percentage of
GDP (Gross Domestic Products) from industrial sector outputs, or, more
fundamentally, a process by which production in the industrial sector
becomes increasingly important compared with agricultural production; and
a general change of scale, concentration towards the use of advanced
technology and a complex division of labour in production with associated
change in social structure and organisation. Now
I then move on to examine and discuss the main characteristics of
industrial development in developing societies since the Second World War: The vast majority of developing countries or the
so-called ‘Third World’ are agrarian societies in economic, social and
cultural outlook. Agriculture, both subsistence and commercial, forms the
principal economic activity in terms of the occupational distribution of
the labour force, if not in terms of proportionate contributions to the
gross national product. Farming is not only an occupation; it is a way of
life for most people in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Nevertheless, the
structure of agrarian systems and patterns of land ownership show great
differences between, for example Latin America and Africa, but with Asian
agrarian systems somewhat closer to those of Latin America in terms of
patterns of land and ownership. However, there are substantial cultural
differences which modify these similarities between Latin America and
Asia. It
is in the relative importance of the manufacturing and service sectors
that can describe the widest variation among developing nations. Most
Latin American countries, having a longer history of independence and, in
general, higher level of nation income than African and Asian nations,
process more advanced industrial sectors. But in the 1970s and 1980s such
countries such as Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Brazil and Singapore
greatly accelerated the growth of their manufacturing outputs and are
rapidly becoming industrialised states (Todaro, 1992). In terms of size
India and China as two of the largest manufacturing sectors in the Third
World, but this is nevertheless small in relation to its enormous rural
population. The conventional grouping ‘developing
countries’ is very heterogeneous, covering countries with very different
population sizes, income levels, resource endowments, and political and
social cultures. However, most developing countries are committed to
transforming or changing their rural-based agricultural economies to
urban-based industrial ones. There may be differences in level of
industrialisation they wish to achieve, the speed at which they wish to
industrialize, or in their industrialisation strategies, but nearly all of
them are strongly committed to their goal of industrialisation. Developing
countries desire industrialisation because they realise that it is
inextricably linked to development and that, historically,
industrialisation has been the only path to development. Countries that
are classed today as developed have all gone through an industrial
revolution. Indeed, there is almost no country that one would be prepared
to call ‘developed’ that has not gone through an industrial
transformation 2.
The historical dimensions of Third World industrialisation However, the current economic, social and
political situation of developing countries cannot be properly understood
without an adequate understanding of its historical background.
Contemporary successes and failure of the Third World are deeply rooted in
the historical evolution of these societies. Furthermore, the forces that
shaped the Third World are still active, and they are powerful impediment
to its fuller development. A
historical appreciation of the Third World is especially important because
of the great chasm that divides it from the more wealthy, developed and
industrialised countries is a relatively recent phenomenon. Many people,
not exposed to history, are apt to forget this as they develop stereotypes
of the Third World as poor, technologically backward and culturally
inferior societies. The truth is that, until the onslaught of European
Imperialism, these societies were culturally vibrant, economically wealthy
and technologically advanced, in many cases more advanced than Europe
itself. Specific cases can be singled out: the Aztec and Inca civilization
of the Americas, India, China, Egypt, and the Muslim civilization that
stretched from southern Spain to the Indian Ocean (Chandra, 1992). While
Europe was far behind some of these societies, it was Europe that evolved
from feudalism to capitalism. This development was nascent in China and
India, but these societies were never able fully to evolve to capitalism.
The evolution of capitalism in Europe enabled it to develop an industrial,
technological and intellectual base that was lacking in other societies.
Capitalism also led to the industrial revolution in Britain in the late
eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries, and this industrial revolution
needed Germany and the United States. The industrial revolution needed
overseas outlets for investment, overseas sources for it raw materials and
overseas markets for its manufactured goods, and led to the overseas
expansion of Europe. At the same time, this overseas expansion contributed
to the success of the industrial revolution itself. 3. The Evolution of Developing Countries Industrial
Policies
*Export
processing Zones (EPZs) **
Import Substitution Orientation (IOS) 4. The Developing Countries Industrialisation
Nonetheless, industrialisation in the developing countries is not a
completely new phenomenon. In some countries it dates back to the early
part of the twentieth century. Two world wars and the Great Depression,
which disrupted international trade and the supply of manufactured goods
from the industrial countries, boosted industrialisation in some parts of
the Third World. Nevertheless, at the end of the Second World War most of
the Third World, apart from Latin America, was still under the control of
the colonial powers and remained predominantly agricultural.
Yet, the process of industrialisation has varied greatly from
region to region in the Third World, depending on the differences in the
overall impact of colonialism and imperialism on their economies and
societies, and more specifically on the volume and diversity of modern
industry, modern infrastructure, skilled manpower and higher education
from the early 1950s in Latin America and Asia, and the early 1960s in
Africa. These reference points may appear somewhat by chance, but they
have a certain validity: although most Latin American countries had
already acquired formal political independence by the second haft of the
nineteenth century, and in some of them, like Argentina, Brazil, Chile and
Mexico, the process of industrialisation and modern
infrastructure-building had gathered some momentum by the early 1930s. It
was certainly not by accident that industrialisation had occurred in the
1930s in Latin America, but rather it was in response to the profound
crisis of capitalism in the 1930s in Western Europe and the United States
“the Great Depression” and the ensuing Second World War (1939-1945)
cut down the resources and markets necessary for an expansion of industry
and infrastructure in Latin America no less than in other regions of the
Third World. Industrialisation and the response to the drastic fall in the
region’s agricultural and mineral export earnings and the need for
tighter control on imports. After the Second World War it became the
central feature of development strategies industrialisation. Not
surprisingly, after the experience of the Great Depression ‘export
pessimism’ reigned and the prospects for increasing exports to the
industrialised countries seemed bleak. If the Latin American were to grow,
it was argued, they would have to produce manufactured goods (Jenkins,
1992)
For the most countries of Developing World, many of them former
colonial territories were independent after the Second World War, saw
themselves as markedly different from the nations of Europe and North
America in two central ways; – They were ‘poorer’ and ‘less’
industrialised; The way forward, in planning their own destinies, seemed
to many to be the machine, the factory and the power station.
Industrialisation was the way to a secure and less dependent future, to
the creation of wealth and the removal of poverty.
With decolonisation, newly independent countries in Africa and Asia
took a similar view, and industrialisation spread. Specialisation in
agriculture materials was identified with colonialism and backwardness;
industrialisation with increased economic activity, productivity and
increased standards of living. The need for political independence
provided a further impetus to industrialisation.
However, the initial optimism concerning both the possibilities and
potential results of industrialisation proved exaggerated. The
technological lead of the advanced industrialised meant that the new
industries being set up in the developing countries had to be protected
from competition from imports. It also meant that they were unable to
compete in world markets with manufactured goods from developed countries,
so that exports, which had played such an important part were experiences
in the industrial revolution period in Western Europe, did not play a
leading role. This form of industrialisation of developing countries replacing
imported manufactured goods with locally produced goods came to be known
as import substitution. 5. Import Substitution Industrialisation and
Protectionism
The drive for industrialisation in developing countries began with
import-substitution industrialisation (ISI). Almost every developing
country, including those now regarded as models of successful
industrialisers, such as Brazil, Singapore and South Korea, used this
strategy. ISI involved the local production of previously imported
manufactured goods. Industrialisation in developing countries was given
impetus by the breakdown in international trade during the Second World
War, which necessitated some industrialisation in the colonies, by the
depression of the 1930s in developed countries, and by the fluctuating or
deteriorating prices of agricultural commodities (Chandra,
1992).
There were many reasons why did developing countries adopt an
import-substituting industrialisation strategy rather than producing for
export; - First, post-colonial societies were acutely conscious of
depending too much on their previous colonial powers; they wish to become
self-sufficient. The ISI theories appeared to offer them the chance to
reduce their dependence on developed countries by relying on domestic
markets and building an indigenous technological capacity; - Second,
export production was not feasible then because of the inability of
developing countries to compete with established producers; - Third, and
according to Chandra, ISI allowed developing countries to foster the
growth of industrial activities by national entrepreneurs; - an
export-oriented strategy would have necessarily involved extensive foreign
ownership in manufacturing. In order to nurture industries, developing
countries provided high levels of protection to domestic manufacturing;
these included tariffs on overseas goods and licensing, with imports being
allowed only to supplement domestic production. Protection accorded to
industry was further enhanced through tough screening of foreign
investment, thus limiting competition.
Most developing countries were primary producers and the export of
primary products was their major, often only, source of exchange needed to
energize economic development. The import of manufactured goods from
abroad not only limited this opportunity but also could, and often did,
lead to crises in the balance of payments. Two concerted actions were open
to countries in such situations. First industrial could be set up to
produce goods at home replace some of those imported and, second, tariffs
quotas and other measures taken, could be implemented to keep out a wide
range of “non-essential” manufactured goods and at the same time
protect the infant home industries. This need for protection has often
been increased in developing countries because they have over-valued their
currencies. This meant the imports appeared as particularly low-cost
competitor to home products. It continued to be the case of all imported
commodities not covered by the protective measures. These could include
raw materials and components used in the manufacture of “inessential
industries” and so their use would be encouraged. (Griffin and Enos,
1970), who take a jaundiced view of the efficacy of import-substitution,
point out that in such situations home industries developed production
techniques based upon imported materials with the result that a greater
use is made of imported inputs. Protecting the balance of payments may
result in both the development of “inessential industries” – (that
is industries which are considered of low priority either in laying the
foundations of economic development or characterised by a low industrial
linkage propensity) and a greater use of imports. So while the output of
home-produced goods increases, being based upon imports it uses exchange
revenue and does much to defeat the purpose of import-substitution. They
argue that most new industrial ventures in developing countries are
markedly less efficient than their counterpart in the Industrial World. In
consequence the ratio of inputs to outputs is greater and their use of the
imported raw materials much more extravagant. The net result is that, in
money terms, the import-substitution effect is very low (see also in
Bernstein, 1973). There is another possible consequence. Devoting a great
amount of investment capital to the import-substituting consumer goods
industries means less is available to establish capital goods industries.
If these basic industries does not exist or cannot expand, they are able
neither to serve the import-substitute industries nor initiate the
establishment of any others. Capital goods have, therefore, to be imported
and increase still further import costs. It is true of course, that this
investment in imported capital goods will, in the long run, help sustain
output. Indeed it can be argue that is preferable to invest in capital
goods industries and in manufacturing designed to produce competitive
exports rather than to encourage a large domestic demand for consumer
goods which, since it cannot be met adequately from home industries, will
maintain a taste for imported items.
In 1950s a large proportion of developing countries chose the path
of import-substituting industrialisation and protectionism. Behind tariff
barriers they further assisted the new home industries by granting them
tax exemption and providing capital loan at low interest rates. In some
countries the state was directly involved, in others private enterprises
and in most a mix of the two. Protectionism it was felt would allow the
new industries, with their inexperienced management and workforce, to
establish themselves securely, iron out difficulties and become
increasingly efficient so that they could eventually withstand the
competition. This approach was adopted both by countries following the
consumer-goods approach and by those taking the basic-industries road. Its
effectiveness in allowing the development of efficiency proved to be far
from unqualified success (Griffin and Enos, 1970). For example, according
to Griffin and Enos, country like Ghana where in 1964, twenty-two out of
thirty-one state industries not only failed to make a profit but achieved
massive losses, and from country like Chile where the privately owned
motor vehicle industry in the 1960s was grossly inefficient in it use of
resources and from Pakistan where inefficiency was present in a large
proportion of industries (Islam, 1967). The evidence appears to indicate a
greater tendency to inefficiency in the consumer-goods sectors. It should
be pointed out, however, that initial inefficiencies are to be expected;
The question is the extent to which they are unduly prolonged by excessive
protection. Continuing inefficiency and hence high unit costs together
with an over-valued currency acts as a positive disincentive to the export
of manufactures. The following analysed cited by Chenery (1979)
demonstrated the negative effect of import-substitution policy: Over the
time these policies lead to relatively low levels of exports, diversion of
resources from agriculture, and ultimately a slowdown in the growth of
industry and of Gross National Product (GNP) as the possibilities for
import substitution are progressively exhausted. Because of this market
limit, the strategy of inward-looking development usually succeeds in
eliminating the specialisation in primary production but not in achieving
manufactured exports (Chenery, 1979).
Clearly, the discrimination in favour of import substitution and
against exports did not permit the development of manufactured exports in
countries engaging in second-stage import substitution behind high
protection. There were also adverse developments in primary exports as low
prices for producers and consumers reduced the exportable surplus by
discouraging production and encouraging consumption. In fact, rather than
improvements in the external terms of trade that were supposed to result,
turning the internal terms of trade against primary activities market
shares were especially pronounced in cereals, meat, oilseeds, and
nonferrous metals, benefiting developed countries, in particular, the
United States, Canada, and Australia (Balassa, 1981)
And according to Balassa, in several developing countries, the cost
of protection is estimated to have reached 6-7 % of GNP. At the same time,
there is evidence that the rate of growth of total factor productivity was
lower in countries engaging in second-stage import substitution than in
the industrial countries. 6.
Industrialisation and structure change: Outward-Oriented Industrial
Development Strategies
The slowdown in economic growth that eventually resulted from the
pursuit of an inward-oriented development strategy led to policy reform in
several of the developing countries which were undertaken in the
mid-sixties in Argentina, Brazil and Colombia, and in subsequent years in
Mexico. The reforms generally involved providing subsidies to manufactured
exports, reducing import protection, applying a system of ‘crawling
pegs’, adopting positive real interest rates, and introducing greater
realism in the pricing of public utilities (Balassa, 1981).
Apart from the lack of biased against exports, countries applying
outward-oriented development strategies generally had positive real
interest rates, adopted realistic price for public utilities, reduced
inter-industry differences in incentives, and provided for automaticity
and stability in the incentive system. On the whole, these countries
minimized price distortions and relied on the market mechanism for
efficient resource allocation and rapid economic growth. An
outward-oriented strategy also has been pursued in Korea, Singapore and
Taiwan.
Nevertheless, with the adoption of the ‘crawling peg’, the
policy reform undertaken in the four Latin American countries imparted
considerable stability to the incentive system. Also, discrimination
against exports and against primary activities was reduced to a
considerable extent which such discrimination persisted in countries that
continued to apply policies of import substitution during the period until
the oil crisis of 1973. Such was the case in India, Chile, and Uruguay (Balassa,
1981).
In India, the introduction of selected export subsidies in the
mid-sixties was far overshadowed by the continued use of import
prohibitions and the controls imposed on investment; subsidies were also
subject to complex regulations and discretionary decisions making. Chile
traditionally had the highest level of import protection in Latin America
and, after brief experimentation with import liberalization, import
restriction were re-imposed in the early seventies. Protection levels were
also high in Uruguay and little effort was made to promote export. 7. Export-oriented Industrialisation
Nevertheless, import-substitution industrialisation led to rapid
increases in industrial production in most developing countries as both
local and foreign entrepreneurs took advantage of government financial
incentives and market protection. However, ISI led to the creation of
high-cost industrial because small domestic markets mean full economies of
scale could not be realised. Initially, this was not the major problem
because basic food and consumer goods had large markets, but it became a
major problem as countries tried to proceed to the second round of import
substitution involving more specialized goods, which needed large markets
for efficient production. Costs also increased because of the absence of
competition both from local producers and imports. In addition, ISI was
seen to have failed to reduce external dependence, since in many instances
raw materials were imported. More importantly, firms in developing
countries had brought or licensed technology from developed countries.
Finally, the heavy involvement of the state, particularly through
state-owned enterprises SOEs, was proving to be a major drain on resources
(Chandra, 1992). All these reasons have led to the adoption of export
oriented industrial policies, particularly since the early 1960s, a small
number of developing countries began successfully to produce industrial
goods for export. Among the first to do so were the East Asian Newly
Industrialising Countries (NICs): Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and South
Korea. With the exception of Hong Kong, these had all undergone some
import-substituting industrialisation in the 1950s, but shifted the
balance toward export promotion in the 1960s (Jenkins, 1992).
In the late 1960s a number of other developing countries began to
give more emphasis to export promotion, without abandoning the policy of
import substitution and the protection given to domestic producers. In
particular, a number of Latin American countries, including Brazil, as
well as other Asian countries began giving incentives to manufactured
exports at this time.
In many developing countries growth of national income and
manufacturing output since 1960 has been high by most standards of
comparison; whether in relation to historical rates in these countries
before 1960, in relation to rates currently achieved by developed
economies, or in relation to the growth performance of the developed
economies at earlier stages of their industrialisation. (Table 1, below)
gives the growth of manufacturing production in developing countries, and
developed countries for two periods after 1963. The impact of first oil
shock is apparent since in both groups growth is lower after 1973, but in
both periods developing countries achieved higher rate of growth of
manufacturing; 8% per year 1963-73, and just under 5% 1973-83. It should
be noted that at no stage in the 19th and early-twentieth
centuries did manufacturing output in any developed industrialised
countries grow by around 8% per year for any sustained period (Bairoch,
1975). It is only in relation to the industrialised Centrally Planned
Economies that the growth of developing countries appears less impressive: Table 1: Annual
average growth of manufacturing production by economic grouping:
Sources: United
Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) (1984), p. 8.
However, as (Figure 1, below) indicates, the developing countries
share of World industrial production remain roughly constant at about 10%
until the later 1960s. It then showed an upward trend until 1980,
increasing to more than 13%. Finally in the 1980 the share levelled off or
even declined slightly after 1982 under the impact of the debt crisis.
There is a similar pattern in the share of developing countries in
exports of manufactured goods with an even more pronounced increase in
share in the 1970s than for production. Unlike the case of production, the
developing countries share of manufactured exports continue to increase
even after 1982, and as a result, exceeded its share of world industrial
production for the first time in 1983. This no doubt reflected the
increased pressure on debtor countries to expand exports in order to
service their debts, despite the relatively slow growth of world trade. Figure
1: Third World share in World manufacturing value-added (MVA) and
manufactured exports. MVA
is the value of sale minus the value of purchases of material inputs in
manufacturing.
Source: (Jenkins, 1992, pp. 20)
One can also add a further qualification: that developing countries
still remain very far from self-sufficient in manufactures. In the early
1980s, with the exception of South Korea, even the industrially successful
NICs imported more manufactured goods from the developed economies than
they exported to them. For developing countries as a group the trade
deficit is far wider, with import of manufactures from developed economies
nearly four times manufactured exports to these countries (UNIDO, 1985)
Therefore, the general conclusion remains that from the available
data it appears that significant degree of industrialisation has taken
place in many developing countries since the 1960, although few as yet can
be seen as “Industrialised”. Success in industrialisation has been
distributed unevenly between countries, and in most instances in the short
period of growth has not been enough to transform social and economic
conditions within these countries. Most studies on poverty, for example,
indicate a rising absolute number of people living in poverty since 1960,
although their share in total population may have fallen (Adelman, 1986). 8.
The level and structure of industrial development of developing countries
– to the uneven of World’s industrial development
No aspect of development planning in the developing World has been
as widely adopted and persistent as industrialisation. Nearly all
governments in developing countries, whether large or small, are fully
committed to at least a certain levels and a degree of industrialisation
to meet more adequately the rapidly rising aspirations of their burgeoning
population. As the follow will demonstrates, while considerable progress
has been made in developing world industrialisation, success has graced
only a few countries, and the vast majority have made hardly any progress.
For that I go on to examine the level of industrial development in to two
ways: a)
The first is to examine the importance of manufacturing production
in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (see Table 2, below) Table 2. The share of the manufacturing sector in GDP
of developing countries
Two main points emerge from this table: -
First, manufacturing still constitutes only small part of the national
economy for most developing countries; and, - second, there has not been a
major change in the importance of manufacturing in the GDP of the
developing countries from 1963 to 1983, in fact, the proportion changing
by only 1.9 percentage points. By way of comparison, it should note that,
in 1983, manufacturing in developed market economies contributed 25% of
GDP. Clearly, therefore, that there has been little structural change in
the economies of developing countries as a whole since the 1960-83.
b) The second, equally important, index of developing countries
industrial development is its share of global manufacturing value added
and trade, which demonstrated in (figure 2, below): Developing countries
still account for a very small proportion of world manufacturing
production: it shows only 11.6 per cent in 1984 (GATT, 1988).
Figure
2. Share of developing countries in world manufacturing value added and
trade
It is equally clear that from 1960 to 1987, a period almost three decades there has not been a major change in the industrial development of developing countries, and their contribution to world manufacturing value added (as shows in the follow figure 3, below) Figure 3. Share of developing countries in world manufacturing value added at constant (1975) prices.
Source:
United
Nations (1985) This is not to say that there has been no increase industrial expansion in the developing countries, for clearly, there has, but that the share of developing societies production of global manufacturing production has not changed significantly. Figure 4. Share of developing countries in world exports of manufactures
From the (figure 4, above): - It is clear that, although the
developing countries share of global trade in manufactures remains small (a
bit more than 14 per cent in 1987), there has been a rapid improvement in
its manufacturing trading position: a change of 219 per cent between 1963
and 1987, albeit on small base (GATT, 1988).
This difference in the manufacturing trade performance of developing
countries and their share of global manufacturing value added is interesting
– it points to the tendency among the developing countries toward
export-oriented industrialisation – the over all industrial production in
developing countries is not expanding much faster than in industrialised
capitalist and centrally planned economies, but these countries are
exporting more of their production (Chandra, 1992). 9.
Regional Industrialisation - the uneven of industrial development in
developing countries.
As mentioned earlier in this essay, the conventional grouping
“developing countries” is very heterogeneous, covering countries with
very different population sizes, income levels and political and social
cultures. In addition, the developing World comprises a diverse group of
countries with different resource endowments, comparative advantages,
international alliances and linkages. It is not surprising, then, that
there have been marked contrasts in the performance of developing
countries in industrialisation. (Table 3, 4, 5) below portray spatial
diversity in manufacturing in the developing countries: Table
3. Regional contrasts in manufacturing in developing countries
Region
Share in manufacturing
Share
in manufactured
1965
1973
1985
1965 1973
1985
Source: World
Bank (1987) World Development Report 1987, New York, Oxford
University Press for the World Bank.
As we can see, the very major contrast between the manufacturing
performance of middle-income countries and low-income countries is that:
The middle-income countries have consistently performed better in
manufacturing production and exports. Not only this, but also that, the
gap between the manufacturing performance of middle-and low-income
countries has been widening. For example, whereas in 1965 the share of
world manufacturing value added of the two groups was roughly equal, in
1985 the middle-income countries’ share was more than twice that of the
low-income countries.
Within the later, the least developed countries “tropical
Africa” (in table 4, below) for example, have done particularly worse:
their share of world manufacturing value added has remained unchanged in
the last 25 years since 1960s, in fact, even it seem to be that its going
to ‘shrink’ further. Table 4. Regional share of world manufacturing value
added
Region
Share of manufacturing value added
1975
1980
1985
Source:
United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (1988) Industry and
Development: Global Report, 1988/89, Vienna, UNIDO. Table 5. The leading developing country exporters of
manufactures in 1986
Country Value of exports in 1986
Percentage of total developing
(US $ million)
country manufactured exports
Source: United
Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) (1988) Protectionism
and Structural Adjustment: Problems of Protectionism and Adjustment, New
York, UNCTAD. Figure 5. The global distribution of industry
Source:
Gordon, 1989. see in (Jenkins, 1992). 10.
Conclusion - Industrialisation and Underdevelopment - Developing
Countries
– Types of Problem Region
Most, perhaps three-quarters, of the world’s population
still lives in what are called the ‘developing’ countries. By this we
mean countries in which by far the greater part of the people are
desperately poor, their poverty generally being associated with some kind
of farming carried on by traditional methods, far removed from modern
techniques, and often in difficult climates, on difficult soils, and with
small amounts of land in relation to the numbers of people trying to get a
living from it (Brown & Burrows, 1979)
Despite more than a second half of the twentieth century of
industrial development since the end of the Second World War, today
poverty is on the rise in developing countries, and as we are now in
entering into the 21st century, the condition of developing
countries are: Not
only have consumption levels been too low to meet basic needs for more
than a billion people, their growth has often been slow and interrupted by
setbacks. In 70 countries with nearly a billion people consumption to day
is lower than it was 25 years ago. It cannot be raised without
accelerating economic growth – but growth has been failing many poor
people and poor countries. Despite the spectacular growth of incomes for
many people in Asia, only 21 developing countries worldwide achieved
growth in GDP per capita of at least 3% each year between 1995 and 1997
– the rate needed to set a frame for reducing poverty. (UNDP
- Human Development Report, 1998 p.7)
Many economic development experts (both modernisation and
dependency theorists), politicians, and large segments of the general
public became accustomed after 1945 to think of the world economically
divided into two: There were industrialised societies and there were
others – Underdeveloped or developing. A society either had it or did
not. Other terms came into play. “Third World” was initially a Cold
War concept which was coined by the Chinese during the later 1950s (Bhagavan,
1990) to identify societies that were neither permanently aligned with the
West (capitalist democracy or the First World, which the economic,
political and military alliances led by the United States America) or with
the Soviet bloc (communism – the Second World), but because most of the
Third World countries were also not completely industrialised, the term
survived the Cold War and mean simply underdeveloped. In fact it is
designed to identify the collective term for the countries of Africa, Asia
and Latin America whose populations are poor, who agriculture, industry
and infrastructure are backward, and where illiteracy, malnutrition, child
mortality and ill-health are widespread, in comparison with the first and
the second world. Finally, in the 1980s and the 1990s the North – South
dualism became popular: The “North” mean industrial, the “South”
mainly the non-industrial Southern Hemisphere but also North Hemisphere
nations, like those on the Indian subcontinent, where great poverty
persisted and industrialisation seemed to lag (Stearns, 1993). South
Korea was given preferential treatment by the USA and Japan, whose capital
and technology streamed into South Korea during the 1960s and 1970s,
laying the base for rapid industrialisation. In addition, successive US
government actively promoted the import of South Korean goods into the US,
allowing unrestricted and free entry.
(Bhagavan, 1990 p.89) Industrialise countries had, by definition, more
manufacturing, more advanced technology, and (except for Eastern Europe)
higher living standards on average than less industrial ones. Beyond this
real but rather gross distinction, however, the “Third World” label
was almost completely misleading in implying some uniform, barely changing
condition for the majority of the world’s population that lived in
“non-industrial” economies. Ironically, the distinction would have
been considerably more valid in the two previous phases of the world
industrial history, when a large number of societies developed very little
factory industry of their own and seemed helpless to launch of process of
significant change save insofar as this was forced on them by established
industrial powers (Stearns, 1993) through the process of imperialism and
colonialism in the past and advantages through the uneven of the “World
System” (Rojas, 1998) as we know today: Bretton Woods institution, IMF,
GATT, Uruguay Round, WTO, the Paris Club, London Club, etc… for these
are political and economical industrial instruments which help them to
become significant wealthy developed and industrialised which we in today
called the ‘North’.
The result as we can see in today at the end of the twentieth
century, a glance at the distribution of world industry will immediately
reveal the gap between the developed world and the Third World. “The
developed capitalist countries, with a sixth of the world’s population,
account for 64 per cent of the world manufacturing industry and consume
more than haft the world’s energy. The Third World with almost
four-fifths of the world’s people, produces only 14 per cent of its
manufactures and consume only a quarter of world energy” (UNIDO, 1990).
This division between an industrial centre and a less developed
hinterland has characterised the world economy for over two hundred years,
since the first industrial revolution in Britain in the late eighteenth
century. For many development thinkers, this was seen as a mutually
beneficial relationship whereby different countries specialised in
producing those commodities which they were relatively good at producing,
and everyone gained. Others however have emphasised the unequal
relationship between centre and periphery by which the industrial
countries were able to obtain the lion’s share of the benefits from
international trade. For them this international division of labour was
associated with colonialism and neo-colonialism which blocked the
industrialisation of the periphery.
The emergence of the Third World, as colonies in Africa and Asia
gained their independence after the Second World War, led to concerted
efforts at industrialisation in the periphery. However, as the figure
quoted above indicate, industrial production continues to be highly
concentrated in the traditional industrial centres. Political independence
has not transformed the international division of labour. At the same
time, rapid industrial development has occurred in certain newly
industrialising countries (NICs). Nevertheless, the countries of the
developing world possess in varying degrees the factors of industrial
production, raw materials, labour, energy resources and capital. These
relative factor endowments will condition the form which their development
path, including industrialisation, takes. These endowments will have been
influenced by their particular historical experience, including
colonialism. The many countries Developing World differ from each other
not only in their natural resource endowments but also in their size,
their access to capital from outside the country and in their political
ideologies, social goals and attitudes to economic and social planning.
The consequent opportunities, and problems, will thus vary considerably
for industrialisation as for agricultural development and the second haft
of the twentieth century have illustrated this./. Bibliography: Adelman, I. (1986)
A Poverty Focused Approach to Development Policy,
in Lewis, J. P. and Kallab, V. (eds) Development Strategies
Reconsidered, Transaction Books, Oxford. Bairoch, P. (1975)
The Economic Development of The Third World Since
1900, Menthuen, London, p. 66-7 Balassa, B, (1981)
The Newly Industrialising Countries in the World
Economy, Pergamon Press, p. 10, 11. Bernstein, H. (1973)
Underdevelopment and Development, London,
Penguin p.141-53 Bhagavan,
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R. (1992), Industrialization and Development in the Third World,
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J. P. (1983), A Geography of the Third World, London and New York:
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Oxford University Press, 1998, p.7. World
Bank (1987) World Development Report 1987, New York, Oxford
University Press for the World Bank. |
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